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El dólar vuelve a subir y supera los 40 pesos La divisa de EEUU mantiene la tendencia por el recorte de tasas de interés del BCRA. Es el precio más alto en casi cinco meses. martes 19 de febrero de 2019 15:55
CAPITAL FEDERAL - El dólar permanece en sendero alcista y toca un nuevo máximo valor en el año . En el mercado minorista supera los 40 pesos , mientras que en la plaza mayorista rebasa los los 39 pesos. De ese modo, la divisa de EEUU regresa a sus precios más altos desde el 1 de octubre del año pasado.
En sucursales del Banco Nación se ofrece a $40,20 para la venta al público.
El reciente repunte del dólar posicionó a la divisa por encima del piso de la zona de "no intervención" del BCRA, que este martes es de $38,372 ; mientras que el techo de la banda es de 49,658 pesos. Para el miércoles el piso se elevará a 38,399 pesos.
El dólar todavía está debajo de los precios récord observados en 2018, de $41,89 en el promedio de bancos y $41,25 mayorista , alcanzados el pasado 28 de septiembre.
De todos modos, los análisis financieros elaborados en el exterior coinciden en que el peso argentino será una de las divisas más débiles en 2019 a escala global, después de haberse depreciado más de 50% el año pasado , lo que replicó en un alza de más de 100 por ciento en el tipo de cambio.
Cada vez hay menos comercios para recargar la SUBE en Comodoro
La agencia de calificación internacional Fitch anticipa una inflación en la Argentina que superaría a la evolución del tipo de cambio, aunque pronostica un dólar a 49 pesos para finales de 2019 . Es decir que el dólar acumularía un alza de 30% a lo largo de todo el año.
En el mismo sentido, un reporte de Bloomberg prevé que en poco más de cuatro meses, hasta el cierre del primer semestre de 2019, el peso argentino será la moneda emergente que más se devaluará, con una caída de 10,7% , que posicionaría al tipo de cambio en 43,45 pesos por dólar para el cierre de junio .
La divisa de los EEUU exhibe una racha de doce ruedas consecutivas en alza en el mercado mayorista. El ritmo de avance del dólar fue creciendo en la medida en que el Banco Central fue desacelerando la baja de las tasas de política monetaria, mientras que se aceleró en las últimas tres ruedas, a pesar de la suba de los rendimientos de las Letras de Liquidez (LELIQ ) que emite el BCRA.
El dólar tocó los 41 pesos y podría llegar a un nuevo máximo histórico
"Después que el primer dato de inflación del año se haya mostrado por encima de lo esperado por las consultoras, la tasa de política monetaria interrumpió las bajas", reseñó Balanz Capital .
"Tanto la suba en la divisa como en la tasa de LELIQ fueron parcialmente influenciadas por el dato de inflación de enero que cerró en 2,9% mensual", aportaron desde Puente .
Con esa dinámica, el dólar acumula un alza de 5,5% en el mes de febrero .
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